Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Eastern Pacific

View 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next 48 hours. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri May 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a 
small area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become 
more diffuse than yesterday, and marginal environmental conditions 
due to nearby dry air are likely to limit significant development. 
This system should remain nearly stationary during the next day or 
so, but by the end of the weekend, the low is forecast to interact 
or merge with another system to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist several hundred miles 
to the south of the coast of southern Mexico along a trough of low 
pressure. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to 
occur as it moves slowly westward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Papin