Hurricane FELIX
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
140 KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 9(31) 2(33)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18) 1(19)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) 16(16) 25(41) 13(54) 2(56) X(56)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 8(25) 1(26) 1(27)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 13(13) 15(28) 13(41) 1(42) 1(43)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) 57(63) 8(71) 4(75) 1(76) X(76)
GUANAJA 50 X 1( 1) 34(35) 9(44) 3(47) X(47) 1(48)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 19(19) 9(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 43(44) 9(53) 1(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 17(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SAN ANDRES 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 146N 804W 34 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 146N 804W 50 69 14(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
12 146N 804W 64 40 16(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
24 151N 832W 34 2 79(81) 9(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
24 151N 832W 50 X 54(54) 14(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69)
24 151N 832W 64 X 29(29) 14(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
36 158N 859W 34 X 8( 8) 56(64) 7(71) 4(75) X(75) X(75)
36 158N 859W 50 X 2( 2) 38(40) 7(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50)
36 158N 859W 64 X 1( 1) 20(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
48 163N 880W 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) 20(44) 12(56) 1(57) 1(58)
48 163N 880W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) 6(30) 1(31) X(31)
48 163N 880W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17)
72 175N 920W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 7(29) 1(30)
72 175N 920W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 175N 920W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 190N 955W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) 3(22)
96 190N 955W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
96 190N 955W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
120 205N 990W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
120 205N 990W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 205N 990W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 150 145 90 90 50 60 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
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FORECASTER PASCH
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