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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072023
0900 UTC MON AUG 14 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 117.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 117.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 117.4W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.9N 118.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.3N 124.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.3N 127.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.5N 130.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 18.0N 136.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 142.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 117.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN
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