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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hilda, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Ignacio,
located more than 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.
1. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical
Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated
shower activity is showing signs of organization, and environmental
conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional
development over the next couple of days. A tropical depression is
likely to form tonight or Tuesday while the system moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late
Thursday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and
further development by that time is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development
thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Brown