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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 100 miles west of the coast of west-central Mexico are
becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later today or on Monday while the system moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico early next week. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter,
and a tropical depression could form by mid-week. The system is
forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near
or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Roberts