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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 20 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A broad area of disturbed weather continues to produce disorganized
showers and a few thunderstorms within a couple of hundred miles off
the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward near or just offshore the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Papin