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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue May 24 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
surface trough located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form late this week or this weekend while the system moves
west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Interests in
southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Central portion of the eastern Pacific:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the
coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could support
some slow development during the next day or two while this
system moves little. Upper-level winds are forecast to become too
strong for development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi