| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion (Text)



740 
AXPZ20 KNHC 120230
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sun May 12 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to a 1010 low pres near 
10N98W to 08N115W. The ITCZ continues from 08N115W to beyond 
04N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 
noted north of 02N and east of 90W, from 05N to 14N between 95W
and 104W, and from 02N to 08N between 110W and 132W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail west of the Baja
California peninsula, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. Light
to gentle winds, and seas of 3 ft or less, are over the Gulf of
California. Light winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere 
over the open waters off Mexico, reaching gentle speeds near the 
Revillagigedo Islands. 

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh NW winds will 
prevail off the Baja California waters through the middle of next
week. Northwest swell will maintain seas to near 7 ft into early
Sun before gradually subsiding to 6 ft or less through early 
next week. Seas will build again to near 7 ft in the far NW 
waters by midweek. Gentle to locally moderate winds and moderate 
seas are expected elsewhere across the open offshore waters of 
Mexico through the middle of next week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found
between Colombia ans the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle
winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate S to SW winds are expected 
south of the monsoon trough through the middle of next week. 
Southerly swell moving through the regional waters will support 
seas of 6-7 ft S of the Galapagos Islands through early Mon. 
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail with moderate seas 
of 6 ft or less. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting gentle to moderate winds N
of the ITCZ to near 20N, and W of 120W. Seas in this area are in
the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 6
ft, are elsewhere N of the ITCZ and monsoon trough. Gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found south of the ITCZ
and monsoon trough. 

For the forecast, moderate trade winds and moderate seas are 
expected in the trade wind zone N of the ITCZ to near 20N and W 
of 120W through Sun, before seas subside slightly through early 
next week. 

$$
AL


Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 12-May-2024 02:31:25 UTC