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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri May 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a 
small area of showers and thunderstorms. Marginal environmental 
conditions due to nearby dry air are likely to limit significant 
development of this system as the low remains nearly stationary 
during the next day or so. By late this weekend, the low is forecast 
to interact or merge with another system to its east, and further 
development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue several hundred 
miles to the south of the coast of southern Mexico in association 
with a trough of low pressure. Development of this system, if any, 
should be slow to occur as it moves slowly westward during the next 
few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Papin