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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 11 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Recent satellite images indicate that the circulation associated
with a low pressure system located about 400 miles south-southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined today.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development, and only a small increase in the organization of the
associated shower and thunderstorm activity would lead to the
formation of a tropical depression, likely tonight or on Saturday.
The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph well
offshore the coast of Mexico, and further development appears
unlikely by Sunday when the system is expected to encounter less
favorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Berg