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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri May 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a 
small area of showers and thunderstorms. While environmental 
conditions appear only marginally favorable due to nearby dry air, 
some development of this system is possible during the next day or 
so as the low remains nearly stationary. By late this weekend, the 
low is forecast to interact or merge with another system to its 
east, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles 
to the south of southern Mexico are associated with a trough of low 
pressure. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to 
occur as the disturbance moves slowly westward during the next few 
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart